Improvements in the representation of the Indian summer monsoon in the NCEP climate forecast system version 2

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Rodrigo Bombardi, Edwin Schneider, Lawrence Marx, Subhadeep Halder, Bohar Singh, Ahmed Tawfik, Paul Dirmeyer, James Kinter III]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2485-2498
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605472750
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-015-2484-6  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-015-2484-6 
245 0 0 |a Improvements in the representation of the Indian summer monsoon in the NCEP climate forecast system version 2  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Rodrigo Bombardi, Edwin Schneider, Lawrence Marx, Subhadeep Halder, Bohar Singh, Ahmed Tawfik, Paul Dirmeyer, James Kinter III] 
520 3 |a A new triggering mechanism for deep convection based on the heated condensation framework (HCF) is implemented into the National Centers for Environmental Prediction climate forecast system version 2 (CFSv2). The new trigger is added as an additional criterion in the simplified Arakawa-Schubert scheme for deep convection. Seasonal forecasts are performed to evaluate the influence of the new triggering mechanism in the representation of the Indian summer monsoon in the CFSv2. The HCF trigger improves the seasonal representation of precipitation over the Indian subcontinent. The new triggering mechanism leads to a significant, albeit relatively small, improvement in the bias of seasonal precipitation totals. In addition, the new trigger improves the representation of the seasonal precipitation cycle including the monsoon onset, and the probability distribution of precipitation intensities. The mechanism whereby the HCF improves convection over India seems to be related not only to a better representation of the background state of atmospheric convection but also to an increase in the frequency in which SAS is triggered. As a result, there was an increase in convective precipitation over India favored by the availability of moist convective instability. The increase in precipitation intensity leads to a reduction in the dry bias. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a Trigger function  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a CFSv2  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Indian summer monsoon  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Seasonal predictability  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Convection  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Bombardi  |D Rodrigo  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Schneider  |D Edwin  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Marx  |D Lawrence  |u Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Institute of Global Environment and Society, Calverton, MA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Halder  |D Subhadeep  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Singh  |D Bohar  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Tawfik  |D Ahmed  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Dirmeyer  |D Paul  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Kinter III  |D James  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2485-2498  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2485  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2484-6  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2484-6  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Bombardi  |D Rodrigo  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Schneider  |D Edwin  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Marx  |D Lawrence  |u Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Institute of Global Environment and Society, Calverton, MA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Halder  |D Subhadeep  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Singh  |D Bohar  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Tawfik  |D Ahmed  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Dirmeyer  |D Paul  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Kinter III  |D James  |u Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, College of Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, 22033, Fairfax, VA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2485-2498  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2485  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382