The impact of ENSO on Southern African rainfall in CMIP5 ocean atmosphere coupled climate models

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Bastien Dieppois, Mathieu Rouault, Mark New]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2425-2442
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605472890
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-015-2480-x  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-015-2480-x 
245 0 4 |a The impact of ENSO on Southern African rainfall in CMIP5 ocean atmosphere coupled climate models  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Bastien Dieppois, Mathieu Rouault, Mark New] 
520 3 |a We study the ability of 24 ocean atmosphere global coupled models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) to reproduce the teleconnections between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Southern African rainfall in austral summer using historical forced simulations, with a focus on the atmospheric dynamic associated with El Niño. Overestimations of summer rainfall occur over Southern Africa in all CMIP5 models. Abnormal westward extensions of ENSO patterns are a common feature of all CMIP5 models, while the warming of the Indian Ocean that happens during El Niño is not correctly reproduced. This could impact the teleconnection between ENSO and Southern African rainfall which is represented with mixed success in CMIP5 models. Large-scale anomalies of suppressed deep-convection over the tropical maritime continent and enhanced convection from the central to eastern Pacific are correctly simulated. However, regional biases occur above Africa and the Indian Ocean, particularly in the position of the deep convection anomalies associated with El Niño, which can lead to the wrong sign in rainfall anomalies in the northwest part of South Africa. From the near-surface to mid-troposphere, CMIP5 models underestimate the observed anomalous pattern of pressure occurring over Southern Africa that leads to dry conditions during El Niño years. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a Southern Africa  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Rainfall  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Coupled model  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a CMIP5  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Teleconnection  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Dieppois  |D Bastien  |u African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, RSA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rouault  |D Mathieu  |u Department of Oceanography, MARE Institute, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, RSA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a New  |D Mark  |u African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, RSA  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2425-2442  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2425  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2480-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2480-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Dieppois  |D Bastien  |u African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, RSA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Rouault  |D Mathieu  |u Department of Oceanography, MARE Institute, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, RSA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a New  |D Mark  |u African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, RSA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2425-2442  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2425  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382