Southern Africa winter temperature shifts and their link to the Southern Annular Mode

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Desmond Manatsa, Caxton Matarira, Terrence Mushore, Chipo Mudavanhu]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2337-2350
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605472947
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-015-2474-8  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-015-2474-8 
245 0 0 |a Southern Africa winter temperature shifts and their link to the Southern Annular Mode  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Desmond Manatsa, Caxton Matarira, Terrence Mushore, Chipo Mudavanhu] 
520 3 |a The main characteristics of spatial and temporal variability of the winter (June-August) observed surface air minimum temperature (SAMT) of southern Africa (Africa south of the equator) were examined from 1960 to 2011. The empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis was used to extract the dominant mode of SAMT variability. Statistically significant shifts were detected in both the index derived from the spatially averaged regional SAMT and its EOF1 time coefficients. These discontinuities displayed a sharp rise followed by an abrupt drop during the periods around 1988 and 2007 respectively. The years corresponded to change points in the Southern Annular Mode index where the 1988 significant alteration to a relatively more positive index polarity was followed by a sudden weakening during the latter shift. The development of the warm phase coincided with the decoupling of SAM from SAMT. This occurred when the strengthening of the western ridge of the Mascarene High appeared to be coupled to the creation of anomalously low pressure systems over Angola and the region pole-ward of South Africa. In this epoch, the meridional wind over southern Africa reversed to become predominantly northerly and hence was symptomatic of warm temperature advection from the lower latitudes. However the post 2007 era, though still of indeterminate length, is characterized by a partial return to the pre-1988 circulation conditions. This implies that the impacts of SAM's epochal alterations have implications not only for the current climate, but also for the interpretation of climate change over southern Africa. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a Southern Africa minimum temperatures  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Southern Annular Mode  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Mascarene High  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Shifts  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Manatsa  |D Desmond  |u Department of Geography, Bindura University of Science, Bindura, Zimbabwe  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Matarira  |D Caxton  |u Department of Geography, Bindura University of Science, Bindura, Zimbabwe  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Mushore  |D Terrence  |u Department of Geography, Bindura University of Science, Bindura, Zimbabwe  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Mudavanhu  |D Chipo  |u Department of Geography, Bindura University of Science, Bindura, Zimbabwe  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2337-2350  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2337  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2474-8  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2474-8  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Manatsa  |D Desmond  |u Department of Geography, Bindura University of Science, Bindura, Zimbabwe  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Matarira  |D Caxton  |u Department of Geography, Bindura University of Science, Bindura, Zimbabwe  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Mushore  |D Terrence  |u Department of Geography, Bindura University of Science, Bindura, Zimbabwe  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Mudavanhu  |D Chipo  |u Department of Geography, Bindura University of Science, Bindura, Zimbabwe  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2337-2350  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2337  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382