Using large-scale diagnostic quantities to investigate change in East Coast Lows

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Fei Ji, Jason Evans, Daniel Argueso, Lluis Fita, Alejandro Di Luca]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2443-2453
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605473013
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-015-2481-9  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-015-2481-9 
245 0 0 |a Using large-scale diagnostic quantities to investigate change in East Coast Lows  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Fei Ji, Jason Evans, Daniel Argueso, Lluis Fita, Alejandro Di Luca] 
520 3 |a East Coast Lows (ECLs) are intense low-pressure systems that affect the eastern seaboard of Australia. They have attracted research interest for both their destructive nature and water supplying capability. Estimating the changes in ECLs in the future has a major impact on emergency response as well as water management strategies for the coastal communities on the east coast of Australia. In this study, ECLs were identified using two large-scale diagnostic quantities: isentropic potential vorticity (IPV) and geostrophic vorticity (GV), which were calculated from outputs of historical and future regional climate simulations from the NSW/ACT regional climate modelling (NARCliM) project. The diagnostic results for the historical period were evaluated against a subjective ECL event database. Future simulations using a high emission scenario were examined to estimate changes in frequency, duration, and intensity of ECLs. The use of a relatively high resolution regional climate model makes this the first study to examine future changes in ECLs while resolving the full range of ECL sizes which can be as small as 100-200km in diameter. The results indicate that it is likely that there will be fewer ECLs, with weaker intensity in the future. There could also be a seasonal shift in ECLs from cool months to warm months. These changes have the potential to significantly impact the water security on the east coast of Australia. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a East Coast Lows (ECLs)  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Isentropic potential vorticity (IPV)  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Geostrophic vorticity (GV)  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a NARCliM  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Ji  |D Fei  |u Office of Environment and Heritage, NSW Department of Planning and Environment, 11 Farrer Place, PO. Box 733, 2620, Queanbeyan, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Evans  |D Jason  |u Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Argueso  |D Daniel  |u Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Fita  |D Lluis  |u Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Di Luca  |D Alejandro  |u Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2443-2453  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2443  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2481-9  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2481-9  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Ji  |D Fei  |u Office of Environment and Heritage, NSW Department of Planning and Environment, 11 Farrer Place, PO. Box 733, 2620, Queanbeyan, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Evans  |D Jason  |u Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Argueso  |D Daniel  |u Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Fita  |D Lluis  |u Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Di Luca  |D Alejandro  |u Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2443-2453  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2443  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382