Fine resolution simulations of the effect of climate change on tropical cyclones in the South Pacific

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Kevin Walsh]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2619-2631
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605473048
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-015-2497-1  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-015-2497-1 
100 1 |a Walsh  |D Kevin  |u School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Fine resolution simulations of the effect of climate change on tropical cyclones in the South Pacific  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Kevin Walsh] 
520 3 |a Fine-resolution (18km) regional climate model simulations using the GFDL regional climate model ZETAC are implemented over a South Pacific domain, where the interannual variability of tropical cyclone formation is large. When forced with observed sea surface temperatures and reanalysis boundary conditions, the model is able to give a good simulation of the interannual variation of regions of tropical cyclone formation, with tropical cyclones simulated to form much further east during El Niño years, as observed. An imposed climate-change perturbation is applied to the model, with the resulting simulation indicating that fewer tropical cyclones form in this region in a warmer world. This result appears to be most closely related to increased vertical velocity in the equatorial Pacific, leading to compensating subsidence in the adjacent tropical cyclone formation regions of the South Pacific, thus suppressing tropical cyclone formation. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 
690 7 |a Tropical cyclone  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Climate change  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Climate variability  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a South Pacific  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Climate modeling  |2 nationallicence 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2619-2631  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2619  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2497-1  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2497-1  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 100  |E 1-  |a Walsh  |D Kevin  |u School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 45/9-10(2015-11-01), 2619-2631  |x 0930-7575  |q 45:9-10<2619  |1 2015  |2 45  |o 382