The skill of atmospheric linear inverse models in hindcasting the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Nicholas Cavanaugh, Teddy Allen, Aneesh Subramanian, Brian Mapes, Hyodae Seo, Arthur Miller]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 44/3-4(2015-02-01), 897-906
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605473390
LEADER caa a22 4500
001 605473390
003 CHVBK
005 20210128100342.0
007 cr unu---uuuuu
008 210128e20150201xx s 000 0 eng
024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2181-x  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2181-x 
245 0 4 |a The skill of atmospheric linear inverse models in hindcasting the Madden-Julian Oscillation  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Nicholas Cavanaugh, Teddy Allen, Aneesh Subramanian, Brian Mapes, Hyodae Seo, Arthur Miller] 
520 3 |a A suite of statistical atmosphere-only linear inverse models of varying complexity are used to hindcast recent MJO events from the Year of Tropical Convection and the Cooperative Indian Ocean Experiment on Intraseasonal Variability/Dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation mission periods, as well as over the 2000-2009 time period. Skill exists for over two weeks, competitive with the skill of some numerical models in both bivariate correlation and root-mean-squared-error scores during both observational mission periods. Skill is higher during mature Madden-Julian Oscillation conditions, as opposed to during growth phases, suggesting that growth dynamics may be more complex or non-linear since they are not as well captured by a linear model. There is little prediction skill gained by including non-leading modes of variability. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Madden-Julian Oscillation  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Hindcast  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Predictability  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Linear inverse model  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Tropical dynamics  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Cavanaugh  |D Nicholas  |u Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, 92093-0208, La Jolla, CA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Allen  |D Teddy  |u Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Subramanian  |D Aneesh  |u Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, 92093-0208, La Jolla, CA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Mapes  |D Brian  |u Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Seo  |D Hyodae  |u Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Woods Hole, MA, USA  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Miller  |D Arthur  |u Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, 92093-0208, La Jolla, CA, USA  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/3-4(2015-02-01), 897-906  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:3-4<897  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2181-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2181-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Cavanaugh  |D Nicholas  |u Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, 92093-0208, La Jolla, CA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Allen  |D Teddy  |u Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Subramanian  |D Aneesh  |u Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, 92093-0208, La Jolla, CA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Mapes  |D Brian  |u Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Seo  |D Hyodae  |u Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Woods Hole, MA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Miller  |D Arthur  |u Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, 92093-0208, La Jolla, CA, USA  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/3-4(2015-02-01), 897-906  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:3-4<897  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382