The influence of Greenland ice sheet melting on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation during past and future warm periods: a model study

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[M. Blaschek, P. Bakker, H. Renssen]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 44/7-8(2015-04-01), 2137-2157
Format:
Artikel (online)
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2279-1  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2279-1 
245 0 4 |a The influence of Greenland ice sheet melting on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation during past and future warm periods: a model study  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [M. Blaschek, P. Bakker, H. Renssen] 
520 3 |a The sensitivity of the climate system to changes in radiative forcing is crucial for our understanding of past and future climates. Especially important are feedbacks related to melting of ice sheets like the Greenland ice sheet (GIS) and its potential impact on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). These effects are likely to delay and dampen predicted long-term warming trends. Estimates of climate sensitivity may be deduced from palaeoclimate-reconstructions, but this raises the question whether past climate sensitivity is applicable to the future. Therefore we have analysed the impact of GIS melt water on the AMOC strength in two past warm climates (last interglacial and early present interglacial) and three future scenarios with three different model parameter sets. These model parameter sets represent three different model sensitivities to freshwater perturbation: low, moderate and high. In both the moderate and high sensitivity versions, we find for lower GIS melt rates (below 54mSv, Sv=106m3/s) a clear difference between past and future warm climates in the sensitivity of the AMOC to GIS melt. This difference is connected to the convective activity in the Labrador Sea and the amount of additional surface freshening due to sea ice melting. In contrast, for higher GIS melt rates (over 54mSv) we find similar reductions of the AMOC strength in all cases. Considering the low sensitivity version of our model, we find that for all GIS melt rates the influence of freshwater forcing on the AMOC is independent of the background climate. Our results and implications are thus strongly determined by the parameter set considered in our model. Nonetheless, our results from two out of three model versions suggest that proxy-based reconstructions of past AMOC sensitivity to GIS melt are likely to be misleading if interpreted for future applications. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Interglacials  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Greenland ice sheet  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Climate modelling  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Climate sensitivity  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a AMOC  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Sea ice  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Blaschek  |D M.  |u Cluster Earth and Climate, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1085, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Bakker  |D P.  |u Cluster Earth and Climate, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1085, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Renssen  |D H.  |u Cluster Earth and Climate, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1085, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/7-8(2015-04-01), 2137-2157  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:7-8<2137  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2279-1  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2279-1  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Blaschek  |D M.  |u Cluster Earth and Climate, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1085, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Bakker  |D P.  |u Cluster Earth and Climate, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1085, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Renssen  |D H.  |u Cluster Earth and Climate, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1085, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/7-8(2015-04-01), 2137-2157  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:7-8<2137  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382