Multi-site, multivariate weather generator using maximum entropy bootstrap

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Roshan Srivastav, Slobodan Simonovic]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 44/11-12(2015-06-01), 3431-3448
Format:
Artikel (online)
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2157-x  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2157-x 
245 0 0 |a Multi-site, multivariate weather generator using maximum entropy bootstrap  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Roshan Srivastav, Slobodan Simonovic] 
520 3 |a Weather generators are increasingly becoming viable alternate models to assess the effects of future climate change scenarios on water resources systems. In this study, a new multisite, multivariate maximum entropy bootstrap weather generator (MEBWG) is proposed for generating daily weather variables, which has the ability to mimic both, spatial and temporal dependence structure in addition to other historical statistics. The maximum entropy bootstrap (MEB) involves two main steps: (1) random sampling from the empirical cumulative distribution function with endpoints selected to allow limited extrapolation and (2) reordering of the random series to respect the rank ordering of the original time series (temporal dependence structure). To capture the multi-collinear structure between the weather variables and between the sites, we combine orthogonal linear transformation with MEB. Daily weather data, which include precipitation, maximum temperature and minimum temperature from 27years of record from the Upper Thames River Basin in Ontario, Canada, are used to analyze the ability of MEBWG based weather generator. Results indicate that the statistics from the synthetic replicates were not significantly different from the observed data and the model is able to preserve the 27 CLIMDEX indices very well. The MEBWG model shows better performance in terms of extrapolation and computational efficiency when compared to multisite, multivariate K-nearest neighbour model. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Weather generator  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Bootstrap  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Maximum entropy  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Multivariate-multisite  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Stochastic  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Climatology  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Srivastav  |D Roshan  |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Western University, London, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Simonovic  |D Slobodan  |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Western University, London, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/11-12(2015-06-01), 3431-3448  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:11-12<3431  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2157-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2157-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Srivastav  |D Roshan  |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Western University, London, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Simonovic  |D Slobodan  |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Western University, London, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/11-12(2015-06-01), 3431-3448  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:11-12<3431  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382