Evaluation of observed and simulated teleconnections over the Euro-Atlantic region on the basis of partial least squares regression

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, C. Rodriguez-Puebla, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 44/11-12(2015-06-01), 2989-3014
Format:
Artikel (online)
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2367-2  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2367-2 
245 0 0 |a Evaluation of observed and simulated teleconnections over the Euro-Atlantic region on the basis of partial least squares regression  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [N. Gonzalez-Reviriego, C. Rodriguez-Puebla, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca] 
520 3 |a An interesting topic in climate research is to determine the variability of teleconnection patterns under warming conditions. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the East Atlantic, the East Atlantic-West Russian and the Scandinavian (SCAND) patterns are the most important teleconnection patterns affecting Europe. Results associated with traditional methodologies for capturing these patterns, such as conventional and rotated empirical orthogonal function analysis, are difficult to intercompare when using different datasets. Therefore, we employed the method of partial least squares (PLS) regression to find a plausible representation of the teleconnections using the standard set of teleconnection patterns defined by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center as a reference. The variability and trend of the teleconnection indices and patterns over the twentieth and twenty-first centuries were investigated for 20C3M and SRES A1B experiments from the third phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP) and compared with the twentieth-century reanalysis data. The results of this study show a positive trend for the NAO and a negative trend for the SCAND under a future climate scenario. With this study, we were able to extract consistent teleconnection patterns across different models, demonstrating the usefulness of the PLS regression in evaluating models and establishing the basis for future work using the fifth phase of CMIP data to assess atmospheric circulation trends and causes of regional climate change. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Climate models  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Teleconnection patterns  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Euro-Atlantic region  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Partial least squares  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Gonzalez-Reviriego  |D N.  |u Department of Atmospheric Physics, University of Salamanca, Plaza de la Merced s/n, 37008, Salamanca, Spain  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rodriguez-Puebla  |D C.  |u Department of Atmospheric Physics, University of Salamanca, Plaza de la Merced s/n, 37008, Salamanca, Spain  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rodriguez-Fonseca  |D B.  |u Department of Geophysics and Meteorology, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/11-12(2015-06-01), 2989-3014  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:11-12<2989  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2367-2  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2367-2  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Gonzalez-Reviriego  |D N.  |u Department of Atmospheric Physics, University of Salamanca, Plaza de la Merced s/n, 37008, Salamanca, Spain  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Rodriguez-Puebla  |D C.  |u Department of Atmospheric Physics, University of Salamanca, Plaza de la Merced s/n, 37008, Salamanca, Spain  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Rodriguez-Fonseca  |D B.  |u Department of Geophysics and Meteorology, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/11-12(2015-06-01), 2989-3014  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:11-12<2989  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382