The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Andrew King, Markus Donat, Lisa Alexander, David Karoly]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Climate Dynamics, 44/9-10(2015-05-01), 2623-2635
Format:
Artikel (online)
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8 
245 0 4 |a The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Andrew King, Markus Donat, Lisa Alexander, David Karoly] 
520 3 |a Australian rainfall is strongly influenced by El Niño-southern oscillation (ENSO). The relationship between ENSO and rainfall in eastern Australia is non-linear; the magnitude of La Niña events has a greater effect on rainfall than does the magnitude of El Niño events, and the cause of the non-linearity is unclear from previous work. The twentieth century reanalysis succeeds in capturing the asymmetric ENSO-rainfall relationship. In the reanalysis the asymmetry is strongly related to moisture availability in the south-west Pacific whereas wind flow is of less importance. Some global climate models (GCMs) in the coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP5) archive capture the asymmetric nature of the ENSO-rainfall relationship whilst others do not. Differences in thermodynamic processes and their relationships with ENSO are the primary cause of variability in model performance. Analysis of an atmosphere-only run of a GCM which fails to capture the non-linear ENSO-rainfall relationship is also conducted. The atmospheric run forced by observed sea surface temperatures shows no significant improvement in the ENSO-rainfall relationship over the corresponding coupled model run in the CMIP5 archive. This result suggests that some models are failing to capture the atmospheric teleconnection between the tropical Pacific and Australia, and both this and a realistic representation of oceanic ENSO characteristics are required for coupled models to accurately capture the ENSO-rainfall teleconnection. These findings have implications for the study of rainfall projections in the region. 
540 |a Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014 
690 7 |a Twentieth century reanalysis  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Precipitation  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Dynamics  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Thermodynamics  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Asymmetry  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a El Niño-southern oscillation  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a King  |D Andrew  |u ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4, Mathews Building, University of New South Wales, 2052, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Donat  |D Markus  |u ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4, Mathews Building, University of New South Wales, 2052, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Alexander  |D Lisa  |u ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4, Mathews Building, University of New South Wales, 2052, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Karoly  |D David  |u ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/9-10(2015-05-01), 2623-2635  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:9-10<2623  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a King  |D Andrew  |u ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4, Mathews Building, University of New South Wales, 2052, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Donat  |D Markus  |u ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4, Mathews Building, University of New South Wales, 2052, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Alexander  |D Lisa  |u ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4, Mathews Building, University of New South Wales, 2052, Sydney, NSW, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Karoly  |D David  |u ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Climate Dynamics  |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg  |g 44/9-10(2015-05-01), 2623-2635  |x 0930-7575  |q 44:9-10<2623  |1 2015  |2 44  |o 382