The current duration design for estimating the time to pregnancy distribution: a nonparametric Bayesian perspective
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| 008 | 210128e20151001xx s 000 0 eng | ||
| 024 | 7 | 0 | |a 10.1007/s10985-015-9333-0 |2 doi |
| 035 | |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10985-015-9333-0 | ||
| 245 | 0 | 4 | |a The current duration design for estimating the time to pregnancy distribution: a nonparametric Bayesian perspective |h [Elektronische Daten] |c [Dario Gasbarra, Elja Arjas, Aki Vehtari, Rémy Slama, Niels Keiding] |
| 520 | 3 | |a This paper was inspired by the studies of Niels Keiding and co-authors on estimating the waiting time-to-pregnancy (TTP) distribution, and in particular on using the current duration design in that context. In this design, a cross-sectional sample of women is collected from those who are currently attempting to become pregnant, and then by recording from each the time she has been attempting. Our aim here is to study the identifiability and the estimation of the waiting time distribution on the basis of current duration data. The main difficulty in this stems from the fact that very short waiting times are only rarely selected into the sample of current durations, and this renders their estimation unstable. We introduce here a Bayesian method for this estimation problem, prove its asymptotic consistency, and compare the method to some variants of the non-parametric maximum likelihood estimators, which have been used previously in this context. The properties of the Bayesian estimation method are studied also empirically, using both simulated data and TTP data on current durations collected by Slama et al. (Hum Reprod 27(5):1489-1498, 2012). | |
| 540 | |a Springer Science+Business Media New York, 2015 | ||
| 690 | 7 | |a McMC |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Posterior consistency |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Data augmentation |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Logistic process prior |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Generalized gamma convolution process |2 nationallicence | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Gasbarra |D Dario |u Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Arjas |D Elja |u Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Vehtari |D Aki |u Department of Computer Science, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Slama |D Rémy |u French Institute of Health and Medical Research, Team of Environmental Epidemiology applied to Reproduction and Respiratory Health, Inserm-Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Keiding |D Niels |u Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | |t Lifetime Data Analysis |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com |g 21/4(2015-10-01), 594-625 |x 1380-7870 |q 21:4<594 |1 2015 |2 21 |o 10985 | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10985-015-9333-0 |q text/html |z Onlinezugriff via DOI |
| 898 | |a BK010053 |b XK010053 |c XK010000 | ||
| 900 | 7 | |a Metadata rights reserved |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence |2 nationallicence | |
| 908 | |D 1 |a research-article |2 jats | ||
| 949 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |F NATIONALLICENCE |b NL-springer | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 856 |E 40 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10985-015-9333-0 |q text/html |z Onlinezugriff via DOI | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Gasbarra |D Dario |u Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Arjas |D Elja |u Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Vehtari |D Aki |u Department of Computer Science, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Slama |D Rémy |u French Institute of Health and Medical Research, Team of Environmental Epidemiology applied to Reproduction and Respiratory Health, Inserm-Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Keiding |D Niels |u Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 773 |E 0- |t Lifetime Data Analysis |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com |g 21/4(2015-10-01), 594-625 |x 1380-7870 |q 21:4<594 |1 2015 |2 21 |o 10985 | ||