Does Cox analysis of a randomized survival study yield a causal treatment effect?

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Odd Aalen, Richard Cook, Kjetil Røysland]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Lifetime Data Analysis, 21/4(2015-10-01), 579-593
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605476195
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s10985-015-9335-y  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10985-015-9335-y 
245 0 0 |a Does Cox analysis of a randomized survival study yield a causal treatment effect?  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Odd Aalen, Richard Cook, Kjetil Røysland] 
520 3 |a Statistical methods for survival analysis play a central role in the assessment of treatment effects in randomized clinical trials in cardiovascular disease, cancer, and many other fields. The most common approach to analysis involves fitting a Cox regression model including a treatment indicator, and basing inference on the large sample properties of the regression coefficient estimator. Despite the fact that treatment assignment is randomized, the hazard ratio is not a quantity which admits a causal interpretation in the case of unmodelled heterogeneity. This problem arises because the risk sets beyond the first event time are comprised of the subset of individuals who have not previously failed. The balance in the distribution of potential confounders between treatment arms is lost by this implicit conditioning, whether or not censoring is present. Thus while the Cox model may be used as a basis for valid tests of the null hypotheses of no treatment effect if robust variance estimates are used, modeling frameworks more compatible with causal reasoning may be preferrable in general for estimation. 
540 |a Springer Science+Business Media New York, 2015 
690 7 |a Causation  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Collapsible model  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Confounding  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Hazard function  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Survival data  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Aalen  |D Odd  |u Department of Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Cook  |D Richard  |u Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Røysland  |D Kjetil  |u Department of Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Lifetime Data Analysis  |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com  |g 21/4(2015-10-01), 579-593  |x 1380-7870  |q 21:4<579  |1 2015  |2 21  |o 10985 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10985-015-9335-y  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
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900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10985-015-9335-y  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Aalen  |D Odd  |u Department of Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Cook  |D Richard  |u Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Røysland  |D Kjetil  |u Department of Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Lifetime Data Analysis  |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com  |g 21/4(2015-10-01), 579-593  |x 1380-7870  |q 21:4<579  |1 2015  |2 21  |o 10985