The importance of considering shifts in seasonal changes in discharges when predicting future phosphorus loads in streams
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| 001 | 605517509 | ||
| 003 | CHVBK | ||
| 005 | 20210128100720.0 | ||
| 007 | cr unu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 210128e20151101xx s 000 0 eng | ||
| 024 | 7 | 0 | |a 10.1007/s10533-015-0149-5 |2 doi |
| 035 | |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10533-015-0149-5 | ||
| 245 | 0 | 4 | |a The importance of considering shifts in seasonal changes in discharges when predicting future phosphorus loads in streams |h [Elektronische Daten] |c [Meredith LaBeau, Alex Mayer, Veronica Griffis, David Watkins, Dale Robertson, Rabi Gyawali] |
| 520 | 3 | |a In this work, we hypothesize that phosphorus (P) concentrations in streams vary seasonally and with streamflow and that it is important to incorporate this variation when predicting changes in P loading associated with climate change. Our study area includes 14 watersheds with a range of land uses throughout the U.S. Great Lakes Basin. We develop annual seasonal load-discharge regression models for each watershed and apply these models with simulated discharges generated for future climate scenarios to simulate future P loading patterns for two periods: 2046-2065 and 2081-2100. We utilize output from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 downscaled climate change projections that are input into the Large Basin Runoff Model to generate future discharge scenarios, which are in turn used as inputs to the seasonal P load regression models. In almost all cases, the seasonal load-discharge models match observed loads better than the annual models. Results using the seasonal models show that the concurrence of nonlinearity in the load-discharge model and changes in high discharges in the spring months leads to the most significant changes in P loading for selected tributaries under future climate projections. These results emphasize the importance of using seasonal models to understand the effects of future climate change on nutrient loads. | |
| 540 | |a Springer International Publishing Switzerland, 2015 | ||
| 690 | 7 | |a Phosphorous |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Climate change |2 nationallicence | |
| 690 | 7 | |a Watersheds |2 nationallicence | |
| 700 | 1 | |a LaBeau |D Meredith |u Calumet Electronics, 49913, Calumet, MI, USA |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Mayer |D Alex |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological University, 49931, Houghton, MI, USA |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Griffis |D Veronica |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological University, 49931, Houghton, MI, USA |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Watkins |D David |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological University, 49931, Houghton, MI, USA |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Robertson |D Dale |u Wisconsin Water Science Center, United States Geological Survey, 53562, Middleton, WI, USA |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Gyawali |D Rabi |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Wisconsin - Madison, 53706, Madison, WI, USA |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | |t Biogeochemistry |d Springer International Publishing |g 126/1-2(2015-11-01), 153-172 |x 0168-2563 |q 126:1-2<153 |1 2015 |2 126 |o 10533 | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-015-0149-5 |q text/html |z Onlinezugriff via DOI |
| 898 | |a BK010053 |b XK010053 |c XK010000 | ||
| 900 | 7 | |a Metadata rights reserved |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence |2 nationallicence | |
| 908 | |D 1 |a research-article |2 jats | ||
| 949 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |F NATIONALLICENCE |b NL-springer | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 856 |E 40 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-015-0149-5 |q text/html |z Onlinezugriff via DOI | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a LaBeau |D Meredith |u Calumet Electronics, 49913, Calumet, MI, USA |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Mayer |D Alex |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological University, 49931, Houghton, MI, USA |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Griffis |D Veronica |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological University, 49931, Houghton, MI, USA |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Watkins |D David |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological University, 49931, Houghton, MI, USA |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Robertson |D Dale |u Wisconsin Water Science Center, United States Geological Survey, 53562, Middleton, WI, USA |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 700 |E 1- |a Gyawali |D Rabi |u Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Wisconsin - Madison, 53706, Madison, WI, USA |4 aut | ||
| 950 | |B NATIONALLICENCE |P 773 |E 0- |t Biogeochemistry |d Springer International Publishing |g 126/1-2(2015-11-01), 153-172 |x 0168-2563 |q 126:1-2<153 |1 2015 |2 126 |o 10533 | ||