caa a22 4500 605526389 CHVBK 20210128100803.0 cr unu---uuuuu 210128e20150101xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10531-014-0794-3 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10531-014-0794-3 Worldwide ant invasions under climate change [Elektronische Daten] [Cleo Bertelsmeier, Gloria Luque, Benjamin Hoffmann, Franck Courchamp] Many ants are among the most globally significant invasive species. They have caused the local decline and extinction of a variety of taxa ranging from plants to mammals. They disturb ecosystem processes, decrease agricultural production, damage infrastructure and can be a health hazard for humans. Overall, economic costs caused by invasive ants amount to several billion US $ annually. There is general consensus that the future distributions of invasive species are likely to expand with climate change, however this dogma remains poorly tested. Here we model suitable area globally for 15 of the worst invasive ant species, both currently and with predicted climate change (in 2080), globally, regionally and within the world's 34 biodiversity hotspots. Surprisingly, the potential distribution of only five species was predicted to increase (up to 35.8%) with climate change, with most declining by up to 63.3%. The ant invasion hotspots are predominantly in tropical and subtropical regions of South America, Africa, Asia and Oceanic islands, and particularly correspond with biodiversity hotspots. Contrary to general expectations, climate change and invasive ant species will not systematically act synergistically. However, ant invasions will likely remain as a major global problem, especially where invasion hotspots coincide with biodiversity hotspots. Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht, 2014 Biological invasions nationallicence Species distribution models nationallicence Consensus model nationallicence Climate change nationallicence Invasive ants nationallicence Bertelsmeier Cleo Ecologie, Systématique and Evolution, UMR CNRS 8079, Univ. Paris Sud, 91405, Orsay Cedex, France aut Luque Gloria Ecologie, Systématique and Evolution, UMR CNRS 8079, Univ. Paris Sud, 91405, Orsay Cedex, France aut Hoffmann Benjamin Ecosystem Sciences, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, PMB 44, 0822, Winnellie, NT, Australia aut Courchamp Franck Ecologie, Systématique and Evolution, UMR CNRS 8079, Univ. Paris Sud, 91405, Orsay Cedex, France aut Biodiversity and Conservation Springer Netherlands 24/1(2015-01-01), 117-128 0960-3115 24:1<117 2015 24 10531 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-014-0794-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-014-0794-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Bertelsmeier Cleo Ecologie, Systématique and Evolution, UMR CNRS 8079, Univ. Paris Sud, 91405, Orsay Cedex, France aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Luque Gloria Ecologie, Systématique and Evolution, UMR CNRS 8079, Univ. Paris Sud, 91405, Orsay Cedex, France aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Hoffmann Benjamin Ecosystem Sciences, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, PMB 44, 0822, Winnellie, NT, Australia aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Courchamp Franck Ecologie, Systématique and Evolution, UMR CNRS 8079, Univ. Paris Sud, 91405, Orsay Cedex, France aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Biodiversity and Conservation Springer Netherlands 24/1(2015-01-01), 117-128 0960-3115 24:1<117 2015 24 10531