caa a22 4500 605526664 CHVBK 20210128100804.0 cr unu---uuuuu 210128e20150901xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10531-015-0980-y doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10531-015-0980-y Atlantic Forest spontaneous regeneration at landscape scale [Elektronische Daten] [Camila de Rezende, Alexandre Uezu, Fabio Scarano, Dorothy Araujo] The Atlantic Forest suffered five centuries of continuous deforestation related to successive economic cycles, and is now reduced to 11.7% of its original cover. The Atlantic Forest Restoration Pact was launched in 2009 and aims to restore 15 million hectares until 2050. Natural regeneration can play an important role in meeting this target, however little attention has been paid to this process and there is a gap in the knowledge about its driving factors at the landscape scale. We mapped forest cover of an Atlantic Forest municipality in Southeastern Brazil, in five timeslots between years 1978 and 2014, and used the weights of evidence method for modeling its spatial dynamics, in order to understand where natural regeneration is occurring and which are the main factors related to this phenomenon. In 36years, forest cover increased 3,020 hectares (15.3%), related to the decreasing of both rural population (R2=0.9794, p=0.0013) and cropland cover (R2=0.8679, p=0.0212). Landscape metrics shows the increment of number of fragments and structural connectivity among them. The main spatial variables influencing forest cover dynamics were topographic position, slope, solar radiation, soil type and distance to forest, urban areas and roads. Secondary forests provide ecosystem services that can turn into economic benefits, and natural regeneration can reduce restoration costs to the municipality. The cost of active restoration of the same area would have meant a total expense of U$ 15.1 million (U$ 419k/year). We show here that spontaneous regeneration must be accounted for and incorporated into the spatial planning of Atlantic Forest restoration. Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht, 2015 Natural regeneration nationallicence Forest restoration nationallicence Landscape dynamics nationallicence Spatial modeling nationallicence de Rezende Camila Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Caixa Postal 68020, CEP 21941-970, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil aut Uezu Alexandre Instituto de Pesquisas Ecológicas, Rod. Dom Pedro I, km 47, Caixa Postal 47, CEP 12960-000, Nazaré Paulista, SP, Brazil aut Scarano Fabio Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Caixa Postal 68020, CEP 21941-970, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil aut Araujo Dorothy Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Caixa Postal 68020, CEP 21941-970, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil aut Biodiversity and Conservation Springer Netherlands 24/9(2015-09-01), 2255-2272 0960-3115 24:9<2255 2015 24 10531 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-015-0980-y text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-015-0980-y text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- de Rezende Camila Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Caixa Postal 68020, CEP 21941-970, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Uezu Alexandre Instituto de Pesquisas Ecológicas, Rod. Dom Pedro I, km 47, Caixa Postal 47, CEP 12960-000, Nazaré Paulista, SP, Brazil aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Scarano Fabio Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Caixa Postal 68020, CEP 21941-970, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Araujo Dorothy Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Caixa Postal 68020, CEP 21941-970, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Biodiversity and Conservation Springer Netherlands 24/9(2015-09-01), 2255-2272 0960-3115 24:9<2255 2015 24 10531