Euro area financial shocks and economic activity in The Netherlands

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Jürgen Antony, D. Broer]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Empirica, 42/3(2015-08-01), 571-595
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605534357
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s10663-014-9265-z  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10663-014-9265-z 
245 0 0 |a Euro area financial shocks and economic activity in The Netherlands  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Jürgen Antony, D. Broer] 
520 3 |a We analyze the effects of shocks on financial markets on economic development in the Euro area and the Netherlands in particular. We develop a VAR model that takes account of feedback loops between financial market conditions and the real economy. These feedback loops operate via the aggregated Euro area level for the real economy as well as financial markets and affect the Dutch economy. Our empirical analysis considers industry data for the Euro area and the Dutch economy. Shocks on financial markets are measured as shocks to corporate bond spreads and implied volatility. For shock identification, we employ a recently proposed decomposition of the forecast error variance combined with an ordering perturbation in our VAR. Bond spread shocks are found to have severe consequences for real economic development independently whether they are accompanied by shocks to volatility. Shocks to volatility seem to imply only severe effects for parts of the real economy if they are accompanied by bond spread shocks. 
540 |a Springer Science+Business Media New York, 2014 
690 7 |a Financial crisis  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Financial shocks  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Finance and real economic activity  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Antony  |D Jürgen  |u Pforzheim University, Tiefenbronner Str. 65, 75175, Pforzheim, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Broer  |D D.  |u CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, P.O. Box 80510, 2508GM, The Hague, The Netherlands  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Empirica  |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com  |g 42/3(2015-08-01), 571-595  |x 0340-8744  |q 42:3<571  |1 2015  |2 42  |o 10663 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10663-014-9265-z  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10663-014-9265-z  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Antony  |D Jürgen  |u Pforzheim University, Tiefenbronner Str. 65, 75175, Pforzheim, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Broer  |D D.  |u CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, P.O. Box 80510, 2508GM, The Hague, The Netherlands  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Empirica  |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com  |g 42/3(2015-08-01), 571-595  |x 0340-8744  |q 42:3<571  |1 2015  |2 42  |o 10663