Determinants of the Price of High-Tech Metals: An Event Study

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Markus Wanner, Tobias Gaugler, Benedikt Gleich, Andreas Rathgeber]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Natural Resources Research, 24/2(2015-06-01), 139-159
Format:
Artikel (online)
ID: 605538956
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024 7 0 |a 10.1007/s11053-014-9244-x  |2 doi 
035 |a (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s11053-014-9244-x 
245 0 0 |a Determinants of the Price of High-Tech Metals: An Event Study  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Markus Wanner, Tobias Gaugler, Benedikt Gleich, Andreas Rathgeber] 
520 3 |a The growing demand for high-tech products has resulted in strong growth in demand for certain minor metals. In combination with production concentrated in China, this caused strong and unpredicted price movements in recent years. As a result, manufacturing companies have to cope with additional risks. However, the detailed reasons for the price development are only partially understood. Therefore, we analyzed empirically which determinants can be assigned to price movements and performed an event study on the high-tech metals neodymium, indium, and gallium. Based on our dataset of news items, we were able to find coinciding events to almost 90% of all price jumps (recall). We showed that if any information about these events occurred with a probability of over 50% there would also be a price jump within 10days (precision). However, the classical set of price determinants has to be extended for these specific markets, as we found unorthodox factors like holidays or weather that may be indicators for price movements. Therefore, we hope that our study supports industry for instance in performing more informed short-term planning of metals purchasing based on information about specific events. 
540 |a International Association for Mathematical Geosciences, 2014 
690 7 |a Determinants  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Event study  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a High-tech metals  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a News  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Prices  |2 nationallicence 
700 1 |a Wanner  |D Markus  |u Institute for Materials Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Gaugler  |D Tobias  |u Institute for Materials Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Gleich  |D Benedikt  |u Institute for Materials Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rathgeber  |D Andreas  |u Institute for Materials Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany  |4 aut 
773 0 |t Natural Resources Research  |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com  |g 24/2(2015-06-01), 139-159  |x 1520-7439  |q 24:2<139  |1 2015  |2 24  |o 11053 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-014-9244-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
898 |a BK010053  |b XK010053  |c XK010000 
900 7 |a Metadata rights reserved  |b Springer special CC-BY-NC licence  |2 nationallicence 
908 |D 1  |a research-article  |2 jats 
949 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |F NATIONALLICENCE  |b NL-springer 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 856  |E 40  |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-014-9244-x  |q text/html  |z Onlinezugriff via DOI 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Wanner  |D Markus  |u Institute for Materials Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Gaugler  |D Tobias  |u Institute for Materials Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Gleich  |D Benedikt  |u Institute for Materials Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 700  |E 1-  |a Rathgeber  |D Andreas  |u Institute for Materials Resource Management, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany  |4 aut 
950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 773  |E 0-  |t Natural Resources Research  |d Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com  |g 24/2(2015-06-01), 139-159  |x 1520-7439  |q 24:2<139  |1 2015  |2 24  |o 11053