What Should I Believe About What Would Have Been the Case?

Verfasser / Beitragende:
[Franz Huber]
Ort, Verlag, Jahr:
2015
Enthalten in:
Journal of Philosophical Logic, 44/1(2015-02-01), 81-110
Format:
Artikel (online)
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100 1 |a Huber  |D Franz  |u Department of Philosophy, University of Toronto, Jackman Humanities Building 170 St. George Street, M5R 2M8, Toronto, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a What Should I Believe About What Would Have Been the Case?  |h [Elektronische Daten]  |c [Franz Huber] 
520 3 |a The question I am addressing in this paper is the following: how is it possible to empirically test, or confirm, counterfactuals? After motivating this question in Section1, I will look at two approaches to counterfactuals, and at how counterfactuals can be empirically tested, or confirmed, if at all, on these accounts in Section2. I will then digress into the philosophy of probability in Section3. The reason for this digression is that I want to use the way observable absolute and relative frequencies, two empirical notions, are used to empirically test, or confirm, hypotheses about objective chances, a metaphysical notion, as a role-model. Specifically, I want to use this probabilistic account of the testing of chance hypotheses as a role-model for the account of the testing of counterfactuals, another metaphysical notion, that I will present in Sections 4 to 8. I will conclude by comparing my proposal to one non-probabilistic and one probabilistic alternative in Section9. 
540 |a Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht, 2014 
690 7 |a Counterfactuals  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Conditional belief  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Chance  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Credence  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Confirmation  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Probability measures  |2 nationallicence 
690 7 |a Ranking functions  |2 nationallicence 
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950 |B NATIONALLICENCE  |P 100  |E 1-  |a Huber  |D Franz  |u Department of Philosophy, University of Toronto, Jackman Humanities Building 170 St. George Street, M5R 2M8, Toronto, ON, Canada  |4 aut 
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