caa a22 4500 605538980 CHVBK 20210128100904.0 cr unu---uuuuu 210128e20150201xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10992-014-9314-x doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10992-014-9314-x Huber Franz Department of Philosophy, University of Toronto, Jackman Humanities Building 170 St. George Street, M5R 2M8, Toronto, ON, Canada aut What Should I Believe About What Would Have Been the Case? [Elektronische Daten] [Franz Huber] The question I am addressing in this paper is the following: how is it possible to empirically test, or confirm, counterfactuals? After motivating this question in Section1, I will look at two approaches to counterfactuals, and at how counterfactuals can be empirically tested, or confirmed, if at all, on these accounts in Section2. I will then digress into the philosophy of probability in Section3. The reason for this digression is that I want to use the way observable absolute and relative frequencies, two empirical notions, are used to empirically test, or confirm, hypotheses about objective chances, a metaphysical notion, as a role-model. Specifically, I want to use this probabilistic account of the testing of chance hypotheses as a role-model for the account of the testing of counterfactuals, another metaphysical notion, that I will present in Sections 4 to 8. I will conclude by comparing my proposal to one non-probabilistic and one probabilistic alternative in Section9. Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht, 2014 Counterfactuals nationallicence Conditional belief nationallicence Chance nationallicence Credence nationallicence Confirmation nationallicence Probability measures nationallicence Ranking functions nationallicence Journal of Philosophical Logic Springer Netherlands 44/1(2015-02-01), 81-110 0022-3611 44:1<81 2015 44 10992 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10992-014-9314-x text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10992-014-9314-x text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 100 1- Huber Franz Department of Philosophy, University of Toronto, Jackman Humanities Building 170 St. George Street, M5R 2M8, Toronto, ON, Canada aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Journal of Philosophical Logic Springer Netherlands 44/1(2015-02-01), 81-110 0022-3611 44:1<81 2015 44 10992