caa a22 4500 606164944 CHVBK 20210128100651.0 cr unu---uuuuu 210128e20150401xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10144-015-0478-1 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10144-015-0478-1 Efficient management for the Hokkaido population of sika deer Cervus nippon in Japan: accounting for migration and management cost [Elektronische Daten] [Hirotaka Ijima, Aomi Fujimaki, Umika Ohta, Kohji Yamamura, Hiroyuki Yokomizo, Hiroyuki Uno, Hiroyuki Matsuda] We evaluated the fourth stage of the "Conservation and Management Plan for Sika Deer (Cervus nippon) in Hokkaido, Japan (CMPS4)”, focusing on its cost-effectiveness and sika deer migration between two management areas of eastern and western Hokkaido. To clarify these factors, we constructed a stochastic matrix population model that accounts for deer migration and several uncertainties. We assumed four different budget scenarios and simple rules regarding nuisance control, and simulated four alternative management strategies. In the stochastic simulation, we calculated the probability of successfully satisfying the population target given by the CMPS4, an average total actual management cost, and a cost-effectiveness index given four budget conditions of migration rate and budget allocation ratio. The simulation results suggest the following. First, the current management budget is so small that the probability of successfully satisfying the population targets in both areas is only 26-30%. If the total budget remains small, it should be almost entirely invested in one area, regardless of migration situation, to maximize the probability of successfully meeting the target density in at least that area. However, these probabilities of success decrease with greater migration rate. Second, when the government invests more of its budget in the early management stage, the expected total actual cost decreases and the probability of management success increases. These findings represent cost-effective management strategies for satisfying the CMPS4 targets. The Society of Population Ecology and Springer Japan, 2015 Cost-effectiveness analysis nationallicence Matrix population model nationallicence Stochastic simulation nationallicence Wildlife management nationallicence Ijima Hirotaka National Research Institute of Far Seas Fisheries, Fisheries Research Agency, 5-7-1 Orido, Shimizu, 424-8633, Shizuoka, Japan aut Fujimaki Aomi Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences, Yokohama National University, 79-7 Tokiwadai, Hodogaya, 240-8501, Yokohama, Japan aut Ohta Umika Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences, Yokohama National University, 79-7 Tokiwadai, Hodogaya, 240-8501, Yokohama, Japan aut Yamamura Kohji Laboratory of Population Ecology, National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, 3-1-3 Kannondai, 305-8604, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan aut Yokomizo Hiroyuki Center for Environmental Risk Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, 305-8506, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan aut Uno Hiroyuki Institute of Environmental Sciences, Hokkaido Research Organization, Kita 19, Nishi 12, Kita-ku, 060-0819, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan aut Matsuda Hiroyuki Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences, Yokohama National University, 79-7 Tokiwadai, Hodogaya, 240-8501, Yokohama, Japan aut Population Ecology Springer Japan 57/2(2015-04-01), 397-408 1438-3896 57:2<397 2015 57 10144 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10144-015-0478-1 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10144-015-0478-1 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Ijima Hirotaka National Research Institute of Far Seas Fisheries, Fisheries Research Agency, 5-7-1 Orido, Shimizu, 424-8633, Shizuoka, Japan aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Fujimaki Aomi Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences, Yokohama National University, 79-7 Tokiwadai, Hodogaya, 240-8501, Yokohama, Japan aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Ohta Umika Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences, Yokohama National University, 79-7 Tokiwadai, Hodogaya, 240-8501, Yokohama, Japan aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Yamamura Kohji Laboratory of Population Ecology, National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, 3-1-3 Kannondai, 305-8604, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Yokomizo Hiroyuki Center for Environmental Risk Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, 305-8506, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Uno Hiroyuki Institute of Environmental Sciences, Hokkaido Research Organization, Kita 19, Nishi 12, Kita-ku, 060-0819, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Matsuda Hiroyuki Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences, Yokohama National University, 79-7 Tokiwadai, Hodogaya, 240-8501, Yokohama, Japan aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Population Ecology Springer Japan 57/2(2015-04-01), 397-408 1438-3896 57:2<397 2015 57 10144