caa a22 4500 606168028 CHVBK 20210128100705.0 cr unu---uuuuu 210128e20150301xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s11127-015-0241-3 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s11127-015-0241-3 Social interactions in voting behavior: distinguishing between strategic voting and the bandwagon effect [Elektronische Daten] [Haldun Evrenk, Chien-Yuan Sher] Prior studies of strategic voting in multi-party elections potentially overestimate the extent of it by counting erroneously votes cast under different motivations as strategic votes. We propose a method that corrects some of this overestimation by distinguishing between strategic voting (voting for a candidate other than the most preferred one to reduce the likelihood of an election victory by a third candidate that is disliked even more) and the votes cast under the ‘bandwagon effect' (voting for the expected winner instead of the most preferred party to conform to the majority or to be on the winning side). Our method follows from the observation that a vote cannot be strategic unless the voter believes that it will affect the outcome of the election with a non-zero probability, while a vote cast under the bandwagon effect requires no such belief. Employing survey data that include the respondent's assessment of the importance of his vote, we illustrate this method by estimating the extent of strategic voting in the 2005 UK general election. The estimated extent of strategic voting (4.22%) is strictly less than self-reported strategic voting (6.94%), but the discrepancy cannot be attributed in a statistically significant way to the bandwagon effect, suggesting that motivations other than those identified in the literature may be at work. Springer Science+Business Media New York, 2015 Voting behavior nationallicence Social interactions nationallicence Strategic voting nationallicence Bandwagon effects nationallicence Multi-party competition nationallicence Evrenk Haldun Department of Economics, TOBB Economics and Technology University, Sogutozu Cad. No: 43, Sogutozu, 06520, Ankara, Turkey aut Sher Chien-Yuan Department of Business Management, National Sun Yat-Sen University, 70 Lien-Hai Rd., 80424, Kaohsiung, Taiwan aut Public Choice Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 162/3-4(2015-03-01), 405-423 0048-5829 162:3-4<405 2015 162 11127 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-015-0241-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-015-0241-3 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Evrenk Haldun Department of Economics, TOBB Economics and Technology University, Sogutozu Cad. No: 43, Sogutozu, 06520, Ankara, Turkey aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Sher Chien-Yuan Department of Business Management, National Sun Yat-Sen University, 70 Lien-Hai Rd., 80424, Kaohsiung, Taiwan aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Public Choice Springer US; http://www.springer-ny.com 162/3-4(2015-03-01), 405-423 0048-5829 162:3-4<405 2015 162 11127