caa a22 4500 606210202 CHVBK 20210128101032.0 cr unu---uuuuu 210128e20150801xx s 000 0 eng 10.1007/s10101-015-0160-2 doi (NATIONALLICENCE)springer-10.1007/s10101-015-0160-2 Deterring repeat offenders with escalating penalty schedules: a Bayesian approach [Elektronische Daten] [Stan Miles, Derek Pyne] We model deterrence with costly punishment when criminals have different abilities. Abilities are unobserved by both criminals and the courts. Based on past successes, criminals update their priors on being high-ability criminals. Courts cannot observe a criminal's total past offenses. They do know that criminals with more convictions were undeterred by previous penalties. Thus, they must have had more successes resulting in higher posterior probabilities of being high-ability criminals. Those with fewer convictions include more with lower posterior probabilities of being high-ability. Since they know that they are relatively more likely to be caught, they are deterred with lower penalties. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2015 Deterrence nationallicence Crime nationallicence Recidivism nationallicence Miles Stan Department of Economics, Thompson Rivers University, V2C 5N3, Kamloops, BC, Canada aut Pyne Derek Department of Economics, Thompson Rivers University, V2C 5N3, Kamloops, BC, Canada aut Economics of Governance Springer Berlin Heidelberg 16/3(2015-08-01), 229-250 1435-6104 16:3<229 2015 16 10101 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10101-015-0160-2 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI BK010053 XK010053 XK010000 Metadata rights reserved Springer special CC-BY-NC licence nationallicence 1 research-article jats NATIONALLICENCE NATIONALLICENCE NL-springer NATIONALLICENCE 856 40 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10101-015-0160-2 text/html Onlinezugriff via DOI NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Miles Stan Department of Economics, Thompson Rivers University, V2C 5N3, Kamloops, BC, Canada aut NATIONALLICENCE 700 1- Pyne Derek Department of Economics, Thompson Rivers University, V2C 5N3, Kamloops, BC, Canada aut NATIONALLICENCE 773 0- Economics of Governance Springer Berlin Heidelberg 16/3(2015-08-01), 229-250 1435-6104 16:3<229 2015 16 10101